Elderly-Retrospect
0x8f53d8521906ff0c8d205ac0dbfdcbe3dae149b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1418 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1080 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
1034 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
754 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
574 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
548 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-91.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
468 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
444 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-99.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$100.00Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?$40.00Jan 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$100.00Jan 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?$100.00Jan 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?$166.42Jan 5, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?$100.00Jan 5, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?$50.00Jan 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$20.00Dec 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$20.00Dec 23, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$100.00Dec 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$100.00Dec 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$100.00Dec 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$100.00Dec 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$100.00Dec 22, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$73.39Dec 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$40.00Dec 21, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$370.37Dec 21, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$100.00Dec 20, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$500.10Dec 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$100.00Dec 19, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".