Calculating-Observation
0x8f587a19779a5fcf2a1d5f8f40977e961d908d37
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
99 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will China win Miss Universe 2025?
87 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will India win Miss Universe 2025?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Thailand win Miss Universe 2025?
39 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2025?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Donald" or "Trump" 3+ times during South Park e6 s27?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Jew" 5+ times during South Park e6 s27?
10 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$3.00Dec 31, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$5.00Dec 31, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$10.00Dec 30, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China win Miss Universe 2025?$2.27Nov 21, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?$21.16Nov 21, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand win Miss Universe 2025?$1.99Nov 21, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philippines win Miss Universe 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India win Miss Universe 2025?$2.00Nov 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand win Miss Universe 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$1.00Nov 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?$10.00Nov 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.27Nov 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?$10.00Nov 1, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford win on 2025-10-20?$7.18Oct 21, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?$30.08Oct 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?$29.99Oct 20, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win on 2025-10-20?$5.17Oct 20, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.