0x8f668616e2c78331fb8a6b26b1eccb596862b40e
0x8f668616e2c78331fb8a6b26b1eccb596862b40e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.97
Total PnL
$-4.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.65
$0.59
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.62
$0.56
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 10 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.51
$0.45
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.42
$0.36
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 10 2026?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.36
$0.30
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.81
$-0.25
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.73
$-1.33
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.34
$-1.72
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.33
$-1.73
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.21
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 10 2026?$2.12Aug 11, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$4.48Aug 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 10 2026?$2.10Aug 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$2.64Aug 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$2.12Aug 8, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?$0.00Aug 7, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?$2.90Aug 7, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$2.06Aug 7, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?$2.11Aug 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$2.14Aug 7, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.06Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?$8.58Aug 6, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?$2.12Aug 6, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$2.61Aug 6, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$2.08Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.06Aug 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$2.06Aug 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$2.09Aug 4, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$2.06Aug 3, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.