Demanding-Chopsticks
0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$209.0K
Total PnL
$-212.2K
Realised
$4.1K
Win rate
93%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$84.9K
$34.9K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
63788 shares @ 86.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.4K
$2.5K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
41281 shares @ 62.6¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.3K
$-10.6K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.1K
$-34.9K
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
7000 shares @ 78.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.9K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
12865 shares @ 72.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.7K
$-2.6K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$742.50
- NO
Will MOUZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
3889 shares @ 50.7¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.3K
$360.56
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
2257 shares @ 46.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$889.45
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
2183 shares @ 58.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$515.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MOUZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$2.23Jun 13, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$0.00Jun 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$67.87Jun 13, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$183.21Jun 13, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$10.5KJun 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner$5.0KJun 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$140.91Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$59.09Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$158.57Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$50.94Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$14.9KJun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$79.00Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$9.75Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.00Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$11.10Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.06Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$9.75Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$790.00Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.00Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$4.74Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $828.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.