Strange-Outcome
0x8f77e2f6e311e3e99eb96c5d3b6aad90015ba56c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.28
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$10.28
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2023 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
2023 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?$10.26Jan 16, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?$10.26Jan 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?$10.25Dec 15, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.0KDec 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.0KDec 6, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.0KDec 6, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.0KDec 5, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.77Dec 5, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.0KDec 5, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.0KDec 3, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?$14.73Dec 3, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?$14.72Oct 27, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.50 on October 26?$14.71Oct 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.50 on October 26?$14.64Oct 26, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)$14.64Oct 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)$12.74Oct 25, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 24?$12.74Oct 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 24?$12.70Oct 24, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?$12.70Oct 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?$12.69Oct 23, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $159.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.