Agonizing-Imitation
0x8f7cd4451b7113c8df6a733e70a8b2dbb1d214b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$470.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$-44.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
2000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$470.00
$30.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
18500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-499.50
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
12520 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-498.46
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
8000 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-520.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
8000 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
6565 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-525.20
- YES
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
6482 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4935 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-394.80
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?
4669 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.54
- YES
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-989.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$440.00May 17, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$491.00Apr 15, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?$120.00Apr 14, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$200.00Apr 14, 19:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Mar 23, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$331.18Mar 22, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$98.17Mar 22, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.9KMar 22, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$36.00Mar 22, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.98Mar 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$130.24Mar 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$392.93Mar 22, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$258.51Mar 12, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$9.16Mar 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$8.95Mar 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$9.62Mar 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$9.71Mar 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$9.11Mar 12, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$9.18Mar 12, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$9.76Mar 12, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $152.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.