Slight-Pace-Retention
0x8f83d9aee0904ee17a8a80857056db3b8cb888dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$47.08
Total PnL
$-6.93
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.63
$0.80
- NO
Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$5.55
$0.56
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.55
$0.55
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
171 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.40
$-4.60
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.51
$-0.48
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.83
$-1.17
- NO
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.55
$0.13
- YES
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.44
$-0.15
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
39 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.89
$-1.35
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.85
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?$14.12Aug 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$14.03Aug 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$2.96Aug 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$3.68Aug 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$1.03Aug 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$1.08Aug 15, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$1.08Aug 15, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$0.78Aug 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?$0.96Aug 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$1.36Aug 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$1.40Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$6.00Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$20.00Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$11.04Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$5.31Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$32.90Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$2.61Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$0.74Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?$1.30Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?$3.04Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.