Strict-Expansion
0x8f87c659420e592fbacdfd2eb79ed5514c8fd382
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$13.10
Total PnL
$-323.38
Realised
$-27.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
13 shares @ 67.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$13.10
$4.27
- NO
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?
770 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $4-6b one day after launch?
701 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$50.00Dec 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEM$PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch?$488.43Dec 18, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch?$450.00Dec 17, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PENGU market cap (FDV) $4-6b one day after launch?$250.00Dec 17, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$958.79Dec 1, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$1000.00Dec 1, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$963.52Dec 1, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$1000.00Dec 1, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $667.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".