Common-Alcove
0x8f882d1cf0b2033bc5ed9006d5c98f870e0ab0ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$35.14
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.08
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.08Dec 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$6.00Dec 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$7.00Dec 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?$6.00Dec 30, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$6.00Dec 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$7.00Dec 30, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 29?$35.08Dec 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$26.66Dec 29, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$4.02Dec 29, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$4.02Dec 29, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$4.03Dec 29, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$7.01Dec 29, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$7.58Dec 29, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$7.56Oct 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$7.00Oct 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$4.00Oct 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$4.00Oct 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$4.00Oct 29, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy talk by August 22?$26.57Oct 29, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy talk by August 22?$26.54Aug 22, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $49.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.