0x8f8bc363219db573dc72b39ef8bf65088f009b16
0x8f8bc363219db573dc72b39ef8bf65088f009b16
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$52.29
Total PnL
$-23.34
Realised
$-11.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.00
$5.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.96
$3.56
- YES
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$6.49
$1.49
- YES
Will Randers FC win on 2026-03-01?
4 shares @ 77.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$3.80
$0.84
- ZHENG
Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs Stephens
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$2.00
$0.38
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-2.56
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
53 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.96
- YES
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will FC København win on 2026-03-01?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
10 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Zheng vs Stephens$1.62Mar 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?$3.56Mar 1, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?$1.20Mar 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casa Pia AC win on 2026-03-01?$2.70Mar 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casa Pia AC win on 2026-03-01?$2.92Mar 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC København win on 2026-03-01?$3.00Mar 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randers FC win on 2026-03-01?$2.96Mar 1, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?$0.57Mar 1, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?$0.56Mar 1, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vejle BK win on 2026-03-01?$0.37Mar 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vejle BK win on 2026-03-01?$0.97Mar 1, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vejle BK win on 2026-03-01?$5.00Mar 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?$1.54Mar 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?$5.00Mar 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?$5.00Mar 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vejle BK win on 2026-03-01?$5.00Mar 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.20Feb 26, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.80Feb 25, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?$15.00Feb 25, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?$1.58Feb 25, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".