Blind-Hop
0x8f92403153418f40ff0d608446f59deba43bae3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$38.69
Total PnL
$-5.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$10.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$5.37
$0.37
- NO
Lula out before April?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
3 shares @ 72.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$2.76
$0.76
- CANADA
NHL 4 Nations: Finland vs. Canada
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$1.63
$0.33
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.38
$0.18
- NO
Will 'Captain America' Opening Weekend Box Office be >$100m?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$1.35
$0.02
- YES
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.28
$0.14
- YES
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$1.19
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$1.14Feb 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 14-21?$1.00Feb 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Captain America' Opening Weekend Box Office be >$100m?$1.33Feb 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL 4 Nations: Finland vs. Canada$1.30Feb 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?$1.11Feb 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.9% on February 14?$1.00Feb 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?$1.00Feb 16, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMFA Cup: Plymouth Argyle vs. Liverpool (To Advance)$0.00Feb 16, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a kickoff return TD in Super Bowl LIX?$1.02Feb 16, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill a non-quarterback throw a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?$1.02Feb 16, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on February 9?$5.04Feb 16, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a non-quarterback throw a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?$1.00Feb 9, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFA Cup: Plymouth Argyle vs. Liverpool (To Advance)$1.00Feb 9, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a kickoff return TD in Super Bowl LIX?$1.00Feb 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on February 9?$5.00Feb 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLula out before April?$5.00Feb 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$5.00Feb 9, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$5.00Feb 9, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMRASMR vs. Threadguy$1.00Feb 9, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.