Visible-Allegation
0x8f948931aed427d4dadc210a39965fc5b84bbffe
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$23.79
Total PnL
$-49.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.90
$0.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.61
$-0.39
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
68 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
57 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? (February 15)
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$8.40Apr 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$13.00Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 12?$1.29Feb 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?$1.00Feb 11, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 12?$5.00Feb 11, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?$1.00Feb 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 12?$1.00Feb 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$5.00Feb 11, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?$8.73Feb 11, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$4.02Feb 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?$5.00Feb 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fox interview on Tuesday?$1.00Feb 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?$7.09Feb 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$1.89Feb 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$2.00Feb 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Nuclear" during the next press briefing?$2.00Feb 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$2.00Feb 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?$5.00Feb 10, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.