Spotless-Hip
0x8f9760e726069bda1dd61d28c9a9875cc16650d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by June 30, 2026?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
98 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$0.00Mar 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South Australian Greens win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South Australian Liberal Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$1.00Mar 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.00Mar 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Hryshyne by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.