Weepy-Viability
0x8f9b1c27fb2e18297f43115032159425fbd82144
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-314.30
Realised
$81.27
Win rate
26%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 29-January 4?
7066 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 3?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $94,000 on November 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 3?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 4?
511 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 3?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 14?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
382 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March?$2.73Mar 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?$2.00Mar 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?$2.29Mar 6, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?$3.44Mar 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?$2.93Mar 5, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?$2.00Mar 5, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 13?$2.76Feb 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 9-15?$2.77Feb 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 9-15?$1.58Feb 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on February 11?$1.58Feb 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$2.59Feb 9, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?$1.00Feb 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on February 11?$1.00Feb 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$1.00Feb 9, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$5.59Feb 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$1.32Feb 7, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 6?$8.32Feb 6, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$8.96Feb 6, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 6?$1.89Feb 5, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.