Babyish-Sugar
0x8fa3cd0a924456fb176a1b2e598b0c7583a73199
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$74.87
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$-248.94
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.33
$0.03
- NO
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
8 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$7.79
$0.09
- NO
Will Ketel Marte win the 2025 NL MVP?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.41
$0.01
- NO
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.91
$0.01
- NO
Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$4.43
$0.03
- NO
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.84
$0.04
- NO
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.81
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-03?$2.96Dec 3, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-03?$3.51Dec 3, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.30Nov 4, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.70Oct 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$4.90Oct 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$2.30Sep 9, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send the national guard to Boston?$2.20Sep 9, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$3.50Sep 9, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$2.22Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?$2.50Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$2.70Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$2.81Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$4.10Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aurora win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?$4.55Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 4-3?$5.13Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$7.46Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?$8.33Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$10.23Sep 9, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?$2.50Aug 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?$2.90Aug 16, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 12:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.