Watchful-Picture
0x8fab254d4fa2412e4d3b4889626941b278a4f54a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.21
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 in December?
1413 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-67.44
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
220 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 3?
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?
150 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$61.77Dec 7, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.80Dec 7, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.00Dec 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.30Dec 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$6.00Dec 5, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$14.00Dec 5, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.16Dec 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$2.00Dec 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$2.24Dec 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$4.50Dec 5, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.84Dec 5, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06?$0.22Dec 5, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06?$2.88Dec 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shop: All your favorite brands be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$0.96Dec 5, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shop: All your favorite brands be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$0.04Dec 5, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shop: All your favorite brands be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$0.01Dec 5, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.45Dec 4, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.80Dec 4, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.24Dec 4, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.72Dec 4, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".