Complex-Ideology
0x8fb138dc5acce3025df55d754432a5a53da75437
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.75
Realised
$21.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1444 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
409 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
357 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
259 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?
93 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?
78 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$53.33Jan 20, 08:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 20, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 19, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 18, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 15, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 9, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 8, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 7, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 6, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 5, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 4, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 3, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 2, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 1, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 31, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $53.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".