Outgoing-Accomplishment
0x8fc569d85c21391bb2515d10dbe94160ff29f5fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$56.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1388 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1378 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1344 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
614 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-344.69
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
350 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-157.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
97 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$50.00Feb 12, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$53.01Feb 12, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$28.00Feb 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$350.00Feb 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$75.00Dec 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$100.00Dec 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$250.00Dec 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$250.00Dec 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$100.00Dec 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$214.23Nov 18, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$130.00Nov 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$106.65Nov 14, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$299.99Nov 8, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.64Nov 6, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$184.92Nov 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$6.70Nov 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$6.70Nov 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$2.03Nov 6, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Poly" or "Poly-" 5+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$0.00Nov 6, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$0.00Nov 6, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $95.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.