Lighthearted-System
0x8fc8e2cebc2e6a826b1217bd53367902d907bb6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$21.67
Total PnL
$-52.73
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.15
$5.15
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.34
$-1.66
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.17
$-1.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
274 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
43 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
30 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$5.00Nov 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?$3.00Nov 13, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$12.50Nov 13, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.40Nov 10, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.20Nov 6, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.20Nov 6, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.78Nov 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.22Nov 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$10.75Nov 4, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?$2.80Nov 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.60Nov 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.09Nov 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.00Nov 2, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$2.40Nov 2, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.80Nov 2, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.34Nov 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.32Nov 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.20Nov 1, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.53Nov 1, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 31?$8.57Nov 1, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.