Soulful-Salmon
0x8fd16443ef673362ff30dcf5ea9aa582a66dd3c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$5.86
Total PnL
$-483.09
Realised
$11.32
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.65
$0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 24?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.40
$0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 25?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25?
254 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5$4.35Jul 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Panevėžys vs. Tobyl FK end in a draw?$3.44Jul 23, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?$2.06Jul 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?$3.33Jul 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?$2.05Jul 23, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBeşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5$1.03Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5$1.03Jul 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5$1.03Jul 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5$1.04Jul 23, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5$1.03Jul 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?$2.32Jul 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?$4.62Jul 23, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Sion win on 2026-07-23? AND Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-23? AND Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-23? AND Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-07-23? AND Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-23? AND Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-23? AND Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-07-23? AND Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-23? AND Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23? AND Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23? AND Will FCSB win on 2026-07-23?$0.99Jul 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 24?$2.05Jul 23, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5$1.03Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5$1.04Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Panevėžys vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 3.5$1.04Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5$1.03Jul 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25?$1.05Jul 23, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 25?$1.05Jul 23, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.