This-Shoemaker
0x8fd2e9ec45506f1fb7b40dee0d03943cd6a33efb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-317.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
154566 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "B-2" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
5556 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
5125 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?
2019 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-278.29
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
1310 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.66
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?
717 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-161.95
- YES
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?
640 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.53
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?
498 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
488 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET$4.31Jun 3, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$21.37Mar 2, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$8.60Mar 2, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.05Feb 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.41Feb 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.47Feb 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.11Feb 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 25, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$6.00Feb 25, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$14.17Feb 25, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Feb 25, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$22.00Feb 25, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".