Cumbersome-Futon
0x8fd7b3ed0e0aca87368de56d26575a44fddf45aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$154.64
Total PnL
$-17.26
Realised
$0.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tether insolvent in 2025?
55 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$55.00
$0.16
- NO
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
35 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$35.00
$0.28
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
25 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$0.07
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$0.04
- NO
Stripe IPO in 2025?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.86
$0.03
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
25 shares @ 97.8¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.79
$-18.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$0.21Dec 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$0.15Dec 22, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$3.73Dec 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$0.15Dec 22, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 22, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStripe IPO in 2025?$13.83Dec 22, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$24.45Dec 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?$34.72Dec 22, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$19.96Dec 22, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$24.93Dec 22, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether insolvent in 2025?$54.84Dec 22, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$5.24Dec 22, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?$29.73Dec 22, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$49.75Dec 22, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?$53.84Dec 22, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$0.54Dec 22, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$44.00Nov 7, 22:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?$52.92Nov 6, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $33.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.