Measly-Chives
0x8fdef8e9c7381cd0571d762244aa5e7f8c3c3543
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
4280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
178 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: July
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
73 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Khamenei seen in public before July?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to 117k on August 16?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kimmel say "Kirk" during return show on September 23?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimmel say "Kirk" during return show on September 23?$1.40Sep 24, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.16Sep 3, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.63Sep 3, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.18Sep 3, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMDodgers vs. Pirates$1.33Sep 3, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Pirates$1.00Sep 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Diamondbacks$1.00Sep 2, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Gaza" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$1.06Sep 2, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" 4+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$1.37Sep 2, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMRed Sox vs. Orioles$1.32Sep 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Gaza" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$1.00Sep 1, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" 4+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$1.00Sep 1, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Sox vs. Orioles$1.00Aug 26, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".