Anguished-Arrogance
0x8fe368927fe7cda526326c14694c5c652a3443c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$18.75
Total PnL
$-124.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be less than 300k?
19 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$18.75
$0.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?
278 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will Disney say "Subscriber" during earnings call?
277 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 30?
271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.76
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3AM ET
269 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 11?
268 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 12?
264 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 9?
255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 20?
249 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?
248 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 4?$21.19Jul 4, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$24.06Jun 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 1?$1.85May 31, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 3?$24.60May 28, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?$31.47May 22, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$2.49May 17, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?$49.75May 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$1.67May 15, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 9?$221.08May 9, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 9?$219.53May 8, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 29?$107.83May 8, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 14?$188.89May 2, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 27?$1.67Apr 27, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 16?$0.00Apr 26, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$22.14Apr 14, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 14?$185.49Apr 14, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 15?$0.00Apr 14, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$206.67Apr 5, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 1?$2.27Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?$17.81Mar 31, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $46.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.