Vibrant-Miracle
0x8fe904f18e52df98957a14b0c9393e4adf7d78ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-914.80
Realised
$-88.26
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1283 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.42
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?
1126 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
619 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
580 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-246.68
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1400 and 1449 times September 1–30?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1450 and 1499 times September 1–30?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?
344 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
311 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
300 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
224 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.15Oct 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$2.39Oct 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$975.41Oct 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$826.14Oct 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$213.99Oct 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?$2.6KOct 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$114.25Oct 15, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$9.26Oct 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$37.25Oct 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$2.75Oct 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$185.53Oct 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$56.38Oct 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$0.53Oct 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$22.55Oct 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$151.60Oct 15, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$325.00Oct 15, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$999.00Oct 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Gaza by October 17?$2.8KOct 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Gaza by October 17?$2.7KOct 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$528.76Oct 14, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $713.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".