Natural-Harbour
0x8feccaae521e0dc6f1f18db50e920cb747f7be3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-81.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
1418 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-794.24
- NO
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
709 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-197.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 12?
229 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 13?
222 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 11?
193 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 7?
163 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 11?
161 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 12?
126 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 11?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on March 11?
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 9?$5.00Jun 10, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?$5.00Jun 10, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?$5.00Jun 9, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?$4.52Jun 9, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 9?$5.00Jun 9, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 9?$4.88Jun 9, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?$4.78Jun 9, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?$5.00Jun 9, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 9?$4.85Jun 9, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 8?$50.00Jun 9, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?$5.00Jun 9, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?$5.17Jun 9, 05:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.59Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 8?$55.00Jun 8, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?$55.00Jun 8, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 8?$5.00Jun 8, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 8?$5.00Jun 8, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?$50.00Jun 8, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 8?$5.00Jun 8, 21:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.