Prize-Balloon
0x8fef85b4d7250fb098ed60ce8d9535cbd23513ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.11
Realised
$3.31
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 9?
127 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 9?
108 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 6?
46 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 12?
23 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 2?
22 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?
3 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?$13.52Mar 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 13?$2.36Mar 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 13?$9.96Mar 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 13?$4.98Mar 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 13?$10.31Mar 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 13?$17.01Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?$12.90Mar 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 13?$15.17Mar 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on March 13?$2.74Mar 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on March 13?$12.44Mar 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 13?$33.66Mar 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?$0.00Mar 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?$25.00Mar 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on March 13?$11.93Mar 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on March 13?$2.17Mar 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on March 13?$1.01Mar 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?$2.70Mar 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?$3.78Mar 13, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?$2.78Mar 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?$5.68Mar 13, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".