Fluffy-Kneejerk
0x8ff31b025436140a5f566e87db4eac163856b406
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.29
Total PnL
$-65.85
Realised
$-15.53
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 44.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-1.46
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.37
$-0.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Criminal" during 2pm signing?
205 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
166 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
136 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Mar 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.00Mar 21, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.74Mar 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.75Mar 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.10Feb 28, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.08Feb 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$3.00Feb 6, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $1.00Feb 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.29Feb 5, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.00Feb 5, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$2.00Feb 5, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.51Feb 5, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".