Hard-To-Find-Manager
0x8ff6b963f9b1df3a3a5504e306302e1753e572ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-872.1K
Realised
$-65.4K
Win rate
27%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
1289161 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-174.1K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
1031068 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.2K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?
879177 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-17.1K
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?
743198 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-39.6K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
548221 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.7K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23?
516640 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.1K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
420000 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.4K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
420000 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.6K
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
419403 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.8K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
391266 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36Feb 3, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.4KFeb 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.5KFeb 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$7.2KFeb 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$186.10Feb 2, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.98Feb 2, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Feb 1, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Jan 31, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jan 30, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Jan 29, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.98Jan 28, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.98Jan 27, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.95Jan 26, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.98Jan 25, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Jan 24, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.97Jan 23, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.94Jan 22, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.94Jan 21, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.95Jan 20, 01:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.95Jan 19, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $2.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".