0x9009e9ddff124c51b91a8eb0726dd892d25facb2
0x9009e9ddff124c51b91a8eb0726dd892d25facb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$4.74
Total PnL
$-472.54
Realised
$-7.45
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?
4 shares @ 29.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.86
$2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?
27 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.88
$0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 28?
222 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 22?
107 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 23?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14?
54 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?
45 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 20?
32 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on March 29?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 22?$1.35Jul 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 22?$1.83Jul 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?$1.25Jul 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?$1.36Jul 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 22?$1.29Jul 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?$1.20Jul 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?$1.11Jul 22, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 21?$1.75Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?$4.28Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 21?$10.23Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?$20.00Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 21?$10.80Jul 21, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 21?$0.90Jul 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 21?$8.96Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 21?$10.80Jul 21, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?$3.33Jul 21, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?$0.43Jul 21, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?$0.33Jul 21, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?$2.80Jul 21, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 21?$1.52Jul 21, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.