This-Head
0x901001186a9c9c61bdba0d472ac2c61a1d18df3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-35.18
Win rate
0%
156 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 16?
1068 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-451.24
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 16?
1053 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.95
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 16?
1048 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-23.39
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?
1038 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-82.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?
369 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
369 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-146.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 16?
189 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-38.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?
180 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 16?
180 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 18?$5.00May 21, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$5.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?$15.00May 21, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?$174.47May 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?$6.00May 18, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?$10.00May 17, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 16?$20.90May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?$0.24May 17, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 17?$0.02May 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?$0.02May 16, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?$0.03May 16, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on May 17?$0.02May 16, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 17?$0.00May 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$0.14May 16, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$0.07May 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 17?$0.07May 16, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?$0.25May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$0.04May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$0.33May 16, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 17?$0.04May 16, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 156 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
156 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 156 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.