Natural-Adaptation
0x9011b85ad972dded20fefe701001a16690ae8330
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-235.54
Realised
$-48.65
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 6?
15 shares @ 26.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 6?
14 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.67
$-1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 6?
42 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.31
$-0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 5?
21 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.01
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 30?
4931 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?
1017 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 2?
781 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 2?
291 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.46
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 1?
162 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 6?$0.554h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 5?$0.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 5?$0.364h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 6?$1.305h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 5?$0.065h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 5?$0.125h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 6?$0.536h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 6?$1.307h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 6?$0.017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 5?$0.067h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.087h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.189h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.189h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.349h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.179h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.099h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.179h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.0410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?$0.0510h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".