Plain-Bonfire
0x901300a5e40b21dd2f3bf3173834af791f40f84f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.09
Total PnL
$-15.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?
1318 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 30?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 12?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 3?
980 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on December 9?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on October 24?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?$92.01May 27, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$92.09May 27, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$92.00May 22, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on May 17?$1.00May 22, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$90.18May 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$90.01May 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on May 17?$1.00May 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?$2.57May 17, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on May 12?$1.20May 17, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$93.19May 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$93.01May 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on May 12?$1.20May 12, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$94.09May 12, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$94.01May 7, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?$94.09May 7, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?$94.01May 2, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?$94.09May 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?$94.00Apr 26, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$2.84Apr 26, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$96.18Apr 26, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $74.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".