Unruly-Photographer
0x9018a98613029737bcb9a8bf9d84d69fb75fe773
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.41
Total PnL
$-12.54
Realised
$-0.16
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
109 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or below on August 15?
240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.84
$-0.36
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 14?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.62
$-0.58
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 14?
117 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.41
$-0.79
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 15?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.40
$-0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
171 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.26
$-0.94
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 14?
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.24
$-0.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
54 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.22
$-0.98
- YES
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?
21 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$0.09
$-1.11
- NO
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$0.08
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: 1st Half O/U 1.5$1.26Aug 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 15?$1.26Aug 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or below on August 15?$1.26Aug 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs$1.87Aug 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs$1.25Aug 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.26Aug 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 14?$1.26Aug 13, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 14?$1.26Aug 13, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 14?$1.26Aug 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?$1.25Aug 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?$1.25Aug 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins$1.02Aug 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins$1.25Aug 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO3) - LFL Playoffs$0.76Aug 12, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO3) - LFL Playoffs$1.25Aug 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$1.26Aug 12, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMColumbus Crew leading at halftime?$0.00Aug 12, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 1.5$0.00Aug 12, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota United FC vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5$0.00Aug 12, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Brann end in a draw?$0.00Aug 12, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.