Daring-Answer
0x9019178de61c50104eed6462042a214f165642e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$695.51
Total PnL
$4.55
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$587.10
$41.10
- NO
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?
62 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$62.26
$3.11
- NO
Will LIGA win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
10 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$9.95
$0.23
- NO
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
5 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.00
$0.48
- NO
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.22
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.94
$0.09
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.87
$0.03
- NO
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
4 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.99
$0.92
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.98
$0.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.