Good-Natured-Priesthood
0x901bf1debf8eed85383285b62e8df35d23d4b888
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$18.20
Total PnL
$-2.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
4 shares @ 80.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$3.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Starmer out by June 21, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 21, 2026?$1.00Jun 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$1.01Jun 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$1.01Jun 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$1.01Jun 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$1.00Jun 21, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$1.02Jun 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.47Jun 21, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$2.01Jun 21, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$3.08Jun 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$1.01Jun 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$1.01Jun 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$2.01Jun 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1.01Jun 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$1.01Jun 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$1.01Jun 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$1.02Jun 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 20, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.