Judicious-Halfbrother
0x901cc9526485dc4fac033480e6924d4e6af98a8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
460 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
280 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
179 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- HUNGARY
World Championships: USA vs. Hungary
133 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
75 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
73 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$50.63Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$16.99Jul 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$30.61Jul 19, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.28Jul 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$23.66Jul 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$4.89Jun 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$4.63Jun 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$5.15Jun 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$5.13Jun 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$5.13Jun 20, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$10.24Jun 20, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$8.67Jun 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$15.36Jun 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$7.20Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$8.21Jun 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Carnac: Arthur Nagel vs Leo Lagarrigue$11.25May 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin$5.13May 25, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali$4.10May 25, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: USA vs. Hungary$4.12May 25, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09May 25, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $18.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.