Sweaty-Breakdown
0x9024ca75ce8ad27fdd9ceb61393f4c9a95fad9f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$65.42
Total PnL
$0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
22 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$22.34
$0.18
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in April?
19 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$19.02
$0.02
- NO
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$13.03
$0.03
- NO
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$11.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in April?$19.00Apr 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$21.04Apr 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$13.00Mar 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$11.00Mar 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$22.16Mar 21, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dominic LeBlanc be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$31.06Mar 21, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$15.11Mar 21, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$8.2KFeb 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominic LeBlanc be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$31.00Feb 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?$26.08Feb 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$8.2KFeb 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?$12.0KFeb 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$21.00Feb 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?$12.0KFeb 15, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$35.03Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$33.10Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.8KJan 15, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.8KJan 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$35.00Jan 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another party win the most seats in the next German election?$1.8KJan 15, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.