Knotty-Reasoning
0x9036dfd553c774303e16d515eacca722bcf4a18b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.48
Total PnL
$-0.73
Realised
$-0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.37
$0.00
- NO
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$14.96Feb 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$1.30Feb 6, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$8.00Feb 6, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$492.62Jan 30, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 30, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$492.62Jan 29, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$110.44Jan 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$382.15Jan 29, 07:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 29, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$382.54Jan 28, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$110.00Jan 28, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$492.52Jan 28, 08:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$494.12Jan 27, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$210.37Jan 27, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$283.71Jan 27, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 27, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$285.37Jan 26, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$211.00Jan 26, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$120.90Jan 26, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $217.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.