Clumsy-Nestling
0x9038c952efdbf148258f857c8bbcedf33a513c1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 8-14?$3.30Dec 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$1.11Dec 13, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?$1.04Dec 13, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zion leave the Pelicans before next season?$1.23Dec 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?$1.00Jun 28, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.00Jun 28, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zion leave the Pelicans before next season?$1.00Jun 28, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March?$1.03Jun 28, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.05Jun 28, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael retaliates against Houthis by Friday?$1.10Jun 28, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March?$1.00Mar 19, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael retaliates against Houthis by Friday?$1.00Mar 19, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Syria before July?$1.00Mar 19, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMMary Kate Cornett statement by Friday?$0.00Mar 19, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMMary Kate Cornett dropped by sorority by Friday?$1.14Mar 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$1.00Feb 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMary Kate Cornett statement by Friday?$1.00Feb 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMary Kate Cornett dropped by sorority by Friday?$1.00Feb 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Syria before July?$1.00Feb 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.95Feb 27, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.