Polite-Freckle
0x90488fea816b6ea29b37754f6ac43d1611316fdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$139.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6464 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
4391 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-754.73
- YES
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?
3070 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-720.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
2430 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
1537 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
1242 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-105.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$999.82Mar 7, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$200.00Mar 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$200.00Mar 6, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.4KFeb 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$399.00Feb 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$754.73Jan 25, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$754.72Jan 24, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$849.31Jan 24, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$849.31Jan 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$580.15Jan 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$580.15Jan 22, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$628.74Jan 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$1.13Dec 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$104.00Nov 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before September?$100.00Aug 24, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?$16.25Feb 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany declare a state of emergency in February?$7.21Feb 16, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany declare a state of emergency in February?$10.00Feb 14, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?$100.00Feb 13, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $209.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".