Some-Preservation
0x904eca4200de09d961692653653a364c99756f10
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.64
Total PnL
$-50.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 10?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 15?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 9?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
25 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 8?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. 76ers
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$30.96Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.24Jun 14, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?$51.00Jun 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?$28.55Jun 2, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce the release of detained Americans?$12.35Jun 1, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$22.73Jun 1, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce the release of detained Americans?$10.08May 15, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$10.39May 11, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 10?$1.05May 9, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 9?$1.05May 8, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$16.67May 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 8?$1.05May 7, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$10.00May 6, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$20.00May 6, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$1.05May 5, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$5.20May 3, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$11.26Apr 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-03-31?$4.60Mar 31, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?$2.90Mar 31, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 06:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.