Harsh-Fox
0x9052cb8afa7aa3d8475efd0f248175d3c271653d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$50.68
Total PnL
$-74.23
Realised
$-12.47
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?
40 shares @ 49.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?
35 shares @ 32.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$11.84
$0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?
58 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$9.86
$-1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?
35 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.1¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$9.07
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.02
$-1.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.02
$-9.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?
22 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?
22 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?
21 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?$20.50Jul 3, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?$31.81Jul 3, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?$28.11Jul 3, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?$27.93Jul 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?$41.58Jul 3, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?$38.43Jul 3, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?$1.96Jul 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?$43.05Jul 3, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?$9.35Jul 3, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?$0.38Jul 3, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?$12.15Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?$11.52Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?$0.34Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?$0.99Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?$8.14Jul 3, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?$16.97Jul 3, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?$11.21Jul 3, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?$18.76Jul 3, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?$19.38Jul 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?$19.96Jul 3, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.