0x90575cfa0dc4d253419a4c8f6454318dd8180fa8
0x90575cfa0dc4d253419a4c8f6454318dd8180fa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-326.69
Realised
$-14.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1271 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
1058 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?
952 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
504 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET
364 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?
116 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-05?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$13.98Mar 24, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$90.00Nov 13, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by October 31?$0.00Nov 7, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by October 31?$101.00Nov 7, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?$20.00Oct 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by October 31?$26.00Oct 4, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$20.00Oct 4, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?$20.00Oct 4, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-05?$20.00Oct 4, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Oct 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 12?$8.00Sep 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $6.67Sep 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?$20.00Sep 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET$10.00Sep 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET$20.00Sep 11, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET$25.29Sep 11, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET$40.00Sep 11, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?$20.00Sep 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $20.00Sep 11, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $25.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.