0x905f1e9088c4fac496ff87f8e2930385663fa2da
0x905f1e9088c4fac496ff87f8e2930385663fa2da
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.43
Total PnL
$-413.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?
12 shares @ 13.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.29
$0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 29?
11 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.13
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?
339 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 29?
169 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on March 29?
132 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on April 6?
119 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 28?
84 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 29?
79 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on April 17?
70 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Seattle have between 3.5 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?
68 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 30?$1.37Jul 29, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 30?$1.41Jul 29, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?$1.60Jul 28, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$1.56Jul 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?$1.42Jul 28, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?$1.53Jul 28, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 29?$1.41Jul 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?$1.35Jul 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 29?$1.50Jul 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28?$1.57Jul 27, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 26?$4.40Jul 27, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 28?$1.41Jul 27, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 28?$1.57Jul 27, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 28?$1.37Jul 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 27?$1.30Jul 26, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 27?$1.37Jul 26, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 25?$3.94Jul 26, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 26?$1.37Jul 25, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?$1.27Jul 25, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 26?$1.41Jul 25, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.