Immediate-Restructuring
0x90641ff83bc694d01c14050d4e284e1dd07318f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$101.56
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET
49301 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-804.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
10905 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-161.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9AM ET
10320 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9AM ET
10147 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-169.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
6441 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-219.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9AM ET
4817 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ET
4528 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-38.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
4043 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-279.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
3471 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-85.47
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2707 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$24.36Apr 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.00Mar 26, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$15.73Mar 26, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$15.00Mar 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$11.25Mar 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.35Mar 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$10.00Mar 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$42.67Mar 22, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$10.00Mar 22, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$5.00Mar 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET$20.00Mar 9, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET$7.00Mar 9, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET$17.40Mar 9, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.