Vivacious-Manipulation
0x906f2454a777600aea6c506247566decef82371a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-25.3K
Realised
$-242.85
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?
280 shares @ 93.6¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$250.47
$-11.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?
291 shares @ 86.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$243.24
$-9.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?
236 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$232.18
$2.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14?
270 shares @ 71.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$185.04
$-7.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13?
122 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$122.05
$2.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 14?
119 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$117.45
$2.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13?
114 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$113.94
$34.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13?
107 shares @ 78.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$106.39
$22.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?
152 shares @ 68.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$102.44
$-1.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?
110 shares @ 75.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$71.50
$-11.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?$12.32Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$8.89Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?$8.34Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?$11.84Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$9.92Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?$10.25Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?$12.26Jun 13, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$10.36Jun 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?$7.53Jun 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?$8.07Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?$12.26Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$13.32Jun 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$11.10Jun 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$1.38Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$4.14Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$4.90Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$2.17Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?$8.60Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$4.77Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 15?$10.84Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.