Verifiable-Cameo
0x90715a3501cc74eeb6a3ee4c5f56d6a68d197c0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-464.74
Realised
$27.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1043 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1017 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-18.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
741 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-26.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
553 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
487 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.15
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
450 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$15.00Mar 24, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$30.00Mar 24, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.89Mar 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.11Mar 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.20Mar 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.12Mar 24, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$40.57Mar 24, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$30.00Mar 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$10.00Mar 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$10.00Mar 24, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.