Worn-Adjustment
0x9071ae751a339f7f36f3edf6789d7234ee35c691
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
152
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-294.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- VILLANOVA WILDCATS
Villanova Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars
5987 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.17
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
50 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
40 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?
13 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- MANCHESTER UNITED
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)
11 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5)$1.02Jun 27, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$1.50Jun 27, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$1.89Jun 19, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$1.89Jun 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$1.20Jun 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 18, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reece James be in England's Starting 11?$1.04Jun 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5$1.18Jun 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5$1.11Jun 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 AND Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? AND Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$1.03Jun 17, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$1.55Jun 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAustria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5$0.59Jun 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$1.21Jun 17, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$1.20Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.77Jun 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$1.02Jun 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$1.01Jun 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$1.01Jun 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 16, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reece James be in England's Starting 11?$1.00Jun 16, 02:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.