Sweltering-Resist
0x9078464b624cb400e073efeef5c5fdfd84bc83c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$44.13
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2591 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.84
$-33.15
- YES
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1133 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.43
$-33.57
- YES
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1974 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.86
$-9.14
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-426.78
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
29000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
2567 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2464 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
2445 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-203.46
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2282 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$333.52Jul 21, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$312.39Jul 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$52.40Jul 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$47.38Jul 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$118.76Jul 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$714.44Jul 15, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$308.75Jul 13, 10:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.72Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner$526.05Jul 9, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner$461.55Jul 9, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$29.36Jul 5, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$102.70Jul 5, 07:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$1.4KJul 3, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$300.00Jul 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$100.00Jul 1, 12:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$1.7KJun 30, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $476.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.